End Game - Google Wins

Today big news were of course the expected deal between Yahoo and Google.
Yahoo will outsource some (we can guess most) of their search advertising and in site contextual advertising to Google.
This makes Google basically almost unbeatable in search. It’s no longer a technology question of coming up with better algorithm to do contextual advertising. It’s all about the ROI they can give publishers and advertisers. And this is first of all a size question. When you have such a huge amount of advertisers and inventory, you can play the numbers in a way that will maximize the results better than anyone else. Microsoft and the other players simply don’t have a chance.
So there are two big questions that come up to mind:
Is this deal good for advertisers? Still hard to know. In the short run, it definitely makes their lives better. Bid for words on Google and reach also the rich Yahoo traffic. On the long run? When Google own interests is to make prices go up as they take a cut of the sale, it’s always bed to have simply just one player. So for the long run, we have to sit and wait and see how this will play out.
The second important questions is of course - So how can someone beat Google?
It seems that there are now just two ways to beat Google:

1. Create such a better search engine, that you will be able to basically convert Google users. This scenario is very unlikely to happen. The main reason is that it is not a technology question but a psychology one. The Google name is “burned” into people mind so hard that even if you’ll proof to them that your engine can bring better search results, most people will still use Google just out of the fear that they are losing something.

2. Hit Google where it really hurts - the revenue share with their publishers. Google takes approx 30% of advertising money and give the other 70% to the publisher. A year ago there was some discussion in the blogosphere about an open source search platform. A platform that takes on the power of open source to beat Google page rank algorithm and at the same time gives publishers 100% of the advertising deal.
Such a platform can be 29% worse than Google, and still convince a publisher to give it his inventory.
Of course this is all theory. In reality there are many problems in creating sucha platform. From who going to fund the massive datawherhouse needed for this, to how you make sure SEO black hats doesn’t game the sysetm when it is an open source one.

2 comments ↓

#1 WebAnalyticsUser on 07.04.08 at 12:49

I think, you are selectively reading Yahoo’s press statement. Yahoo’s press statement states that “Under the terms of the agreement, Yahoo! will select the search term queries for which - and the pages on which - Yahoo! may offer Google paid search results. Yahoo! will define its users’ experience and will determine the number and placement of the results provided by Google and the mix of paid results provided by Panama, Google or other providers. The agreement applies to paid search and content match and does not apply to algorithmic search. The agreement also applies to current partners in Yahoo’s publisher network.” which implies that yahoo will not be sharing all the search related data. Having said that, i also agree that sharing of any data may be detrimental.

#2 Barry Mansfield on 08.19.08 at 3:10

Hi there,

I really enjoyed your article and I’m glad other people are also writing on this subject. I write about it quite a lot and would be keen to share thoughts on it with you.

Cheers,
Barry

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/connected/main.jhtml?xml=/connected/2007/08/04/dlwiki04.xml

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